The single most convenient untruth about the 2008 (and counting) financial crisis is that it was unforeseen. For two years policymakers have insisted “There was no way to know ahead of time” that the liquidity boom would come to a screeching halt. Yet even as the mainstream authorities failed to detect the economic earthquake moving below their own feet, somebody did “notice” well in advance. That person was EWI’s Bob Prechter.