Corporate Bonds: “The Next Shoe to Drop”?

A distinct Head and Shoulders pattern exists where the neckline has been broken over the last few days. The corporate bond market has held in reasonably well over the last year, but we fully expect this sector to be the next shoe to drop.

Euro: Look at This Head & Shoulders Chart Formation

You are probably familiar with the classic “head and shoulders” chart pattern. But, in case you need a refresher, here’s a brief description of a head and shoulders top: The high of an initial upward move is the left shoulder. After a decline, another upward move takes prices to a higher high, or the head. A second decline follows the head. A third rally then takes prices to a peak below the high of the head, and becomes the right shoulder. The left and right shoulders are often similar in duration and extent. A trendline connecting the two lows is called the neckline. When prices penetrate the neckline, a change of trend is believed to have occurred. Head and shoulders bottoms also occur and the same description applies except in reverse. This head and shoulders measuring formula — showing a top as an example — provides even more insight. The commentary is from a past issue of Elliott Wave International’s Trader’s Classroom: