What New York City’s Art Auctions Tell You About the Stock Market — and Social Mood

The fall and spring auctions in New York City are the art market’s bellwether sales events. And according to The New York Times, the results from the City’s spring art auction season “tell a story of a masterpiece market come down to earth.” The article notes that the spring sales at Christie’s, Sotheby’s and Phillips delivered $1.4 billion — a 22 percent decrease from total earnings of $1.8 billion in 2023.

While auction experts called it a “respectable finish,” the general art market nervousness is a bad sign for the next major auction season in November. It’s “a momentum-based market,” said one expert about the art industry. “There can be a little bit of a herd mentality.”

Banks Are Becoming More Cautious About Lending

With the FED tightening and raising rates, member banks are feeling the pinch and are being forced to adjust their lending practices. The COVID panic of 2020 and 2021 pushed mortgage rates to record lows below 3%. But with the FED’s money pumping during the same period, inflation soared to over 8%. Initially, the FED felt the inflation surge was “transitory” and was the result of supply shortages due to limited production during the pandemic. So, they refused to change their easy money stance. However, as inflation continued to surge, the FED eventually decided that it had to act.
So the FED began tightening (i.e., reducing FED assets), and raising FED funds rates. As we can see in the chart below, the FED funds rate was virtually zero at the beginning of 2022, and by October, it had shot up to 3.08%.

Are Disease Outbreaks Market Indicators?

Waves of social mood fluctuate in accordance with the Wave Principle and determine prices in financial markets. Moreover, these same waves regulate the tenor and character of social attitudes and actions. The key point is that social mood is the cause. It is endogenous. Prices in financial markets and events in society are the effects. They are exogenous.

However, most people believe the opposite is true.

The Disruptive New Science that Shatters Today’s Investing Paradigm

This article was excerpted from a new multimedia report, “The New Financial Theory that Could Make the Difference in Your Investing Success,” (You may watch the excerpt as a video presentation below or if you prefer continue reading the excerpt below the video.)

The Personality of Stock Market Waves

The Personality of Stock Market Waves Each Elliott wave has its own “personality.” In this video  Wayne Gorman shows the psychology behind the waves and how it affects your investment decisions. See how the market swings from extreme pessimism through a sense that we are going to survive resulting in cautious optimism but then pessimism returns […]