This Doesn’t Happen in Bear Markets

When the stock market peaked in late January, many hypothesized it was the beginning of a long-term bear market.  As shown in the S&P 500 monthly chart below, stocks posted red months in February and March, and went on to post gains for five consecutive months.  The green months in April, May, June, July, and August mean the S&P 500 posted gains in 11 of the last 13 months.

Is Gold on the Verge of a Bottom?

From 2017 until now the Gold chart shows another 75% price retracement from recent highs once again.  This second 75% retracement could be a massive bottom formation setting up in Gold and could be a huge “wash-out” low price.  We believe this unique retracement is indicative of a massive price breakout over the next year or so as the price of gold is forming what Stan Weinstein calls a Stage 1 Accumulation.

Is Silver Worth Buying in 2017?

Silver investments have a sketchy past. Recently, it came to light that from 2007 to 2013 major players like JP Morgan Chase and HSBC, had been manipulating the price of silver. But that is not the first time the price of silver was manipulated. Beginning in the early 1970s, the Hunt brothers, Nelson, William and Lamar began accumulating large amounts of silver. Until his dying day in 2014, Nelson Bunker Hunt, who had once been the world’s wealthiest man, denied that he and his brothers had plotted to corner the global silver market. Whether they initially intended to “corner the market” or just believed in the ability of silver to protect against double-digit inflation is uncertain but by 1979, they had nearly cornered the global silver market.

In 1979, the brothers had made a profit of from $2 to $4 billion in silver speculation, with estimated silver holdings of 100 million troy ounces (3,100,000 kg). Because the Hunt brothers held the majority of the available above ground supply, silver prices soared from $11 an ounce in September 1979 to $50 an ounce in January 1980. However, like all bubbles this one popped as well, (in this case with the possible help of the government due to the difficulties caused by the lack of supply of silver) with prices falling back to $11 by March 1980. Eventually the Hunt brothers were forced to file for bankruptcy due to lawsuits related to their trading activities. Some see the endearingly eccentric Texans as the victims of overstepping regulators and vindictive insiders who couldn’t stand the thought of being played by a couple of southern yokels.

Even today, many investors still prefer to invest in gold rather than silver. However, 2017 is a shiny new year by many standards. Is this the year to buy silver?

Prechter: “This is Not a Picture of a Bull Market”

The three-and-a-half-year rally has occurred on declining volume By Elliott Wave International What a comeback for the Dow Industrials! From a March 9, 2009, close of 6,547, the senior index climbed to 13,610 on Oct. 5, 2012. Moreover, the Dow achieved this feat in the face of a weak-kneed economy, and it has grinded forward […]

Learn Basics of Elliott Wave Analysis — FREE

Ralph Nelson Elliott discovered the Wave Principle in the 1930s. Over the decades, his discovery was kept alive by a handful of individuals. A few of those, such as Bolton, Prechter and Frost, educated investors on how to use pattern analysis in financial markets. To help out Elliott Wave International’s readers in learning the basics of the method, we put together a free 10-lesson online tutorial. Here’s an excerpt.

Big Bear Markets: More Than Falling Stock Prices

Fear and uncertainty that drive a severe bear market are the same emotions which can set the stage for authoritarianism, in most any nation. Why do authoritarian tendencies emerge only during bear markets in stocks? Bob Prechter’s new science of socionomics gives you answers.

Prechter Called the Uptrend ‘Out’ in April

Even non-sports fans have heard by now about the recent debacle known as “Baseballgate” — with two outs in the ninth inning, the first base umpire called “SAFE” when the runner was clearly “OUT.” The missed call cost Detroit Tiger pitcher Armando Galarraga a perfect game. But the Biggest, Baddest Call of all was not made on a sports field. It was made in the field of finance — specifically on the stock market. To wit: The mainstream “umpires” of finance stood near first base, and in April made this emphatic call for the uptrend in stocks.

Prechter Describes The “Stunning Long-Term Elliott Wave Picture”

This seems to paint a bullish picture: the stock market was in double-digit rally mode during 43% of the total calendar days in question…

What Do These 8 Technical Indicators Mean for the Markets?

Robert Prechter reveals how 8 technical indicators are aligning to form a forecast for the market that’s too urgent to ignore.

Goldman Sachs Charged With Fraud: Who Could Have Guessed? Part III

In the November 2009 issue of Elliott Wave International’s monthly Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, co-editors Steven Hochberg and Peter Kendall published a careful study of Goldman Sachs company history — and made a sobering forecast for its future. In this special three-part series, we release that Special Report to you. Here is the final installment, Part III.