Emerging Markets and Epidemics

The global disruption associated with the pandemic far surpasses other major health scares in modern history.

Even so, you may recall 2009 news articles similar to this one from the New York Times (June 11, 2009):
It came as no surprise [on June 11, 2009] when the World Health Organization declares that the swine flu outbreak had become a pandemic.
The disease has reached 74 countries …
And, going further back in time, the World Health Organization provided this July 5, 2003 update on the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome, known as SARS:
To date, 8439 people have been affected, and 812 have died from SARS.
The reason for briefly reviewing the swine flu and SARS is to point out that, as surprising as it may be, both outbreaks marked not the start, but the end of a downtrend in emerging markets stocks.

Deflationary Psychology Versus the Fed: Here’s the Likely Winner

Most economists believe the Fed can prevent financial crises and depressions. [EWI’s analysts] disagree. Socionomic theory proposes that naturally fluctuating waves of social mood regulate financial optimism and the economy. They are unconscious and cannot be managed.

Crude Oil’s 2020 Crash: See What Helped (Some) Traders Pivot Just in Time

Since the start of 2020, crude oil has gone from “black gold” to “black days,” plummeting 70% for its “worst quarter on record”. As of March 30, oil prices circled the drain of a two-DECADE low near $20 per barrel. Is there any way an oil trader or active oil investor could look at the market’s crash and NOT see what one March 12 CNN article coined “a nightmare scenario”?

Is the Buying Opportunity Here Yet?

With the market down so sharply many are speculating that it will rebound just as sharply but market sentiment might be indicating something else altogether.

Did the Oil Crash Wreck the Stock Market?

Crude oil took a 30% dive on Sunday, March 8. Yet what’s happened in oil this year is so much bigger than that headline-grabbing, one-day move. In January, oil was $64 a barrel. It hit $27.34 intraday on Monday, March 9, so the price of oil fell 57% in just two months. Talk about a swift decline.

Spotting a 178-Year-Old Firm’s Collapse… 2 Years in Advance

On Sept. 22, Britain’s Thomas Cook, the world’s 2nd largest travel agency, collapsed. The 178-year-old firm blamed it on many factors: weather, terrorism, Brexit… But would you believe that Elliott waves foresaw the coming demise as early as 2017? In the following article, we’ll look at the unbelievable chart that predicts the collapse.

Spotting High-Confidence Trading Opportunities

You know that there are hundreds of technical indicators out there. Sometimes you may have so many flashing signals on your screen that it looks like the motherboard of the Starship Enterprise. Here’s help in choosing the right one. In this free video lesson, the editor of Elliottwave International’s “Trader’s Classroom” service shows his favorite moving average pattern: the “Pinch.”

Summer of Love for Gold Bulls: How “Quandary” Became Clarity

As mainstream experts struggled to see the direction in gold, Elliott wave analysis saw a clear, bullish triangle. Then, gold prices rocketed to six-year highs!

Want to See What’s Next for the Economy? Try This.

Don’t listen to the naysayers — there IS a way to forecast the general health of the economy. This method has repeatedly proven itself. Yes, you can anticipate the likelihood of a recession, even a depression — or, conversely, when major economic measures — like jobs — will be robust.

Elliott Wave: Market Signaling Fed to Cut Rates Soon

Our friends at Elliott Wave International (EWI) have been tracking the U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest rates decisions for years. This week, the Fed once again decided to keep the funds rate unchanged. But based on EWI’s analysis they expect the Fed to change course soon. They have covered this topic before, see: Want to Know […]